The Sask. Party has taken a hit in popularity after the most recent budget.
A new Mainstreet poll shows the current government is sitting at 40 per cent popularity with decided and leaning voters. That represents a seven per cent decrease from the last poll.
Where the Sask. Party is faltering, the NDP is gaining. The opposition gained seven points in popularity, getting 49 per cent support from decided and leaning voters.
That’s a nine-point lead for the NDP over the current government.
“It’s a sea change following an extremely rocky budget rollout” said David Valentin, executive vice-president of Mainstreet Research.
“The provincial NDP hold a decisive lead in Regina, and a four-point lead in Saskatoon. The Saskatchewan Party continues to lead outside urban centres,” he added.
The provincial Liberals sit at six per cent support and the Green party has five per cent support.
“While the NDP leads in voting intentions, without knowing how efficient their vote would be outside Regina and Saskatoon, it’s difficult to predict an outcome, but with the information we have now it’s possible the NDP could form the next government with these numbers.”
Federal Liberals gain support in Regina
The Justin Trudeau Liberals have a 12-point lead in Regina, which is a change from the previous federal election results.
Currently, the federal government only has one seat in the Queen City. But if the numbers hold, the Liberals could potentially win two more seats.
The federal NDP have support spread fairly evenly across the province, with 25 per cent in Regina, 20 per cent in Saskatoon and 18 per cent in the rest of Saskatchewan.
The Conservative party leads all federal parties with 41 per cent support across the province.
Approval high for Mayor Clark, positive for Mayor Fougere
After a contentious provincial budget, Saskatoon Mayor Charlie Clark continues to have a high approval rating with 67 per cent of Saskatoon residents saying they either very much, or somewhat approved of the job the mayor is doing. Fourteen per cent disapproved and 20 per cent were unsure.
While the approval numbers aren’t as high for Regina Mayor Michael Fougere, he remains in positive territory.
Forty-eight per cent of those polled approved of Fougere’s performance, while 38 per cent disapproved.
Mainstreet reported surveying 2,000 Saskatchewan residents using a mix of landline and cellphone calls between May 15-16.
The margin of error for the survey results is plus or minus 2.19 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The margin of error for Regina is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The margin of error for Saskatoon is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The margin of error for the rest of Saskatchewan is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
*This story has changed since it was first posted based on new information provided by Mainstreet Research. A previous draft stated the Federal NDP has 21 per cent support in the rest of Saskatchewan. That number has been corrected to 18 per cent.